Novel anthropogenic activity datasets and predicting long range introductions of invasive pests

Tuesday, November 18, 2014: 8:32 AM
E145 (Oregon Convention Center)
Gericke Cook , USDA - APHIS - PPQ - CPHST, Fort Collins, CO
Marla Downing , FHTET Forest Health Protection, USDA - Forest Service, Ft. Collins, CO
Lisa Kennaway , USDA - APHIS - PPQ - CPHST, Fort Collins, CO
John Withrow , Cherokee National Technologies, Fort Collins, CO
Ian Leinwand , Cherokee National Technologies, Fort Collins, CO
Catherine Jarnevich , U.S. Geological Survey, Fort Collins, CO
Andrew M. Liebhold , Northern Research Station, USDA - Forest Service, Morgantown, WV
Frank Koch , Southern Research Station, USDA - Forest Service, Research Triangle Park, NC
Denys Yemshanov , Landscape Analysis and Applications, Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada
If well-defined, human movement patterns can be used to characterize some of the mechanisms for accelerating the spread of agricultural pests and diseases in the United States. It is a major challenge to quantitatively characterize these patterns, especially on a national scale. We will be introducing two novel datasets, direction-specific traffic volume modelled onto a road network and household movement data originating from quarantine zones, that have been created specifically for modeling invasive introductions on a national scale. We will discuss their implementation in a statistical model that predicts long range introduction of European gypsy moth.